LED Linear Tube Lamps Global Market Forecast & Analysis

SOURCE : LEDinside 2010-3-30ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market research consultancy, today announced the release of a new market review and forecast of the global consumption of light emitting diode (Led) linear tube lamps, which are used in new construction, retrofitting of existing (installed-based) and as a replacement for fluorescent linear lamps (tubes).

This report provides an independent examination and analysis of the changing market dynamics for two major types of LED-based linear tube lamps, segmented by length (less than 4 feet and 4 feet or longer) and by technology:

DIP LED Linear Tube Lamps
SMD LED Linear Tube Lamps

In terms of volume (the number of units), the worldwide use of LED linear tube lamps will increase at a dramatic average annual growth rate of 85 percent (2009-2016). Last year, 19 percent of LED linear tubes were SMD-based LED tubes 120cm or longer; SMD LED tube lamps (less than 120cm) represented 11 percent of the global volume; The shorter length (less than 120cm) DIP tube lamps held 20 percent of the relative market share and the market leader was the longer LED DIP linear tube lamps (see Figure 1).

The global market is segmented into the following major application categories:

Government Interior Lighting
Government Exterior Lighting, plus Signage
Commercial/Industrial Lighting (Interior and Exterior)
Professional Display & Signage
Mass-Transit and Other Vehicles

According to ElectroniCast Consultants, the automatic assembly and test manufacturing process for the surface mounted device (SMD) light emitting diode linear tube lamps allows for mass-production capability. In addition, over the next few years, the average selling prices of the LED linear tube lamps will be driven lower, as a result of production efficiencies, yield-number improvements (aided by quality controls), competition (both market competition and technological competition), marketing/sales distribution improvements, and other factors.

“Over the next 7-years, it will become apparent that it will take less LEDs per lamp to provide more brightness, at a lower average selling price per lamp,” said Stephen Montgomery, president of International business at ElectroniCast.

“During the forecast period (2009-2016), as the use of the component-level bulbs increase, as the competition intensifies, as the consumer awareness increases, as the automatic test and assembly (the manufacturing processes) of the piece-parts and higher-level components improves, the road will be paved for lower price LEDs with a higher lumen/W rating to be use in the LED linear tube lamp.”

“Therefore, the timeframe of 2009-2016 will be the launching pad for this particular led lamp. The worldwide LED linear tube lamp marketplace is forecasted to increase in consumption value (in dollars) at an average annual growth rate of nearly 71 percent,” Montgomery added.

Figure 1 LED Linear Tube Lamps Global Consumption Market Share in 2009, By Technology Type and Length (Based on Quantity: Unit Volume)

Source: ElectroniCast Consultants